11-25-2012, 03:04 PM
Recently, there was some discussion on another board to which I yam a member about Las Vegas and particularly the game of BlackJack.
Some years ago, I wrote a very serious program that is essentially a simulation of BlackJack and it proved to me that no matter what playing strategies or wagering strategies players employ, over the long run, in Las Vegas, the player can NEVER, EVER beat the house at BlackJack.
Anyway, here is the post I made on that other broad
I once wrote a very thorough and very serious computer analysis and simulation of the game of Blackjack - specifically tailored for the game in Las Vegas.
It shows - without any doubt - that no matter what playing strategies or wagering strategies players employ, over the long run, in LV, the player can NEVER, EVER beat the house at BlackJack. I'm unsure about other locations. But my simulation is all over the LV game (meaning that it covers every conceivable angle. It enables players to set and change every option in the game (such as whether the dealer always hits a soft 17 or not).
Yes, it is always possible that I may have made some errors in writing this software. But the best thing about writing your own software, is that if you, in fact, make any errors, you can always correct those errors.
My simulation shows that players can come very close to breaking even - VERY, VERY close. But the key factor that always works in the house's advantage is this:
Even if you play perfect strategy, every time players make errors, no matter how large or small, the result is always an advantage for the house. It always results in the house making money and players losing money. It just cannot work any other way. Players can just NEVER, EVER overcome this factor.
This leads to an excellent policy, which is this: Anytime one player begins "riding" another player at a table, (meaning one player repeatedly verbally abuses another player), it is best to just stand up and leave - all the while saying nothing. IMO, it is always best for players to just keep their mouths shut.
In my opinion, the only way players can beat the house at BJ is to cheat. And, if you cheat, it is a virtual certainty that you will go to jail. Of this one thing, you may be certain: They do not play games in LV.
However, even having said all that, I truly love this game, and, if anyone here is interested in seeing this simulation and operating it for themselves, and is capable of writing software (in Delphi or C), I would be happy to show it to them and enable them to operate it for themselves.
However, there is one essential stipulation. If you cannot program your PC using either Delphi or C, then this would just be a complete waste of our time - both yours and mine. And in that case - please just forget it. It will lead to nothing but headaches and I can guarantee you that. If you are fluent in C, that is good enough because anyone fluent in C will be able to handle this without much trouble.
This simulation may have been written in Delphi. But any competent C programmer will be able to handle it without much trouble. However - please be advised that if you are serious about operating it, you will really need a Delphi 5.0 (or later) compiler.
If you would like to see it and operate it for yourelf, I would be happy to show it to you and I would not ask you for any money or anything else. You are perfectly welcome to it.
I promise you that using this simulation abolutely does not involve any cheating. However, if you wish to count cards, that is your affair and counting cards can only improve the results of anyone's game. When I played in LV, I always counted cards and I would never step foot into a casino unless I was prepared to count cards.
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Please be advised of this one last thing: This is a very serious piece of software and it will require a truly dedicated effort if you wish to fully understand it and operate for yourself. It is not difficult to master. But, it is not for the casual gadfly who thinks there is just nothing to it. There are no easy shortcuts involved in understanding this program. It is not terribly long. Nor is it terribly complex. Moreover, it is written using most of the modern methods of structured programming. So, be prepared. if you are serious about the game of BJ, and you are serious about wanting to master this simulation, it will pay off for you in many ways and will be an asset that will benefit you for a long time to come.
But you will need to be willing to put in the necessary work to understand it and to operate it successfully.
Some years ago, I wrote a very serious program that is essentially a simulation of BlackJack and it proved to me that no matter what playing strategies or wagering strategies players employ, over the long run, in Las Vegas, the player can NEVER, EVER beat the house at BlackJack.
Anyway, here is the post I made on that other broad
I once wrote a very thorough and very serious computer analysis and simulation of the game of Blackjack - specifically tailored for the game in Las Vegas.
It shows - without any doubt - that no matter what playing strategies or wagering strategies players employ, over the long run, in LV, the player can NEVER, EVER beat the house at BlackJack. I'm unsure about other locations. But my simulation is all over the LV game (meaning that it covers every conceivable angle. It enables players to set and change every option in the game (such as whether the dealer always hits a soft 17 or not).
Yes, it is always possible that I may have made some errors in writing this software. But the best thing about writing your own software, is that if you, in fact, make any errors, you can always correct those errors.
My simulation shows that players can come very close to breaking even - VERY, VERY close. But the key factor that always works in the house's advantage is this:
Even if you play perfect strategy, every time players make errors, no matter how large or small, the result is always an advantage for the house. It always results in the house making money and players losing money. It just cannot work any other way. Players can just NEVER, EVER overcome this factor.
This leads to an excellent policy, which is this: Anytime one player begins "riding" another player at a table, (meaning one player repeatedly verbally abuses another player), it is best to just stand up and leave - all the while saying nothing. IMO, it is always best for players to just keep their mouths shut.
In my opinion, the only way players can beat the house at BJ is to cheat. And, if you cheat, it is a virtual certainty that you will go to jail. Of this one thing, you may be certain: They do not play games in LV.
However, even having said all that, I truly love this game, and, if anyone here is interested in seeing this simulation and operating it for themselves, and is capable of writing software (in Delphi or C), I would be happy to show it to them and enable them to operate it for themselves.
However, there is one essential stipulation. If you cannot program your PC using either Delphi or C, then this would just be a complete waste of our time - both yours and mine. And in that case - please just forget it. It will lead to nothing but headaches and I can guarantee you that. If you are fluent in C, that is good enough because anyone fluent in C will be able to handle this without much trouble.
This simulation may have been written in Delphi. But any competent C programmer will be able to handle it without much trouble. However - please be advised that if you are serious about operating it, you will really need a Delphi 5.0 (or later) compiler.
If you would like to see it and operate it for yourelf, I would be happy to show it to you and I would not ask you for any money or anything else. You are perfectly welcome to it.
I promise you that using this simulation abolutely does not involve any cheating. However, if you wish to count cards, that is your affair and counting cards can only improve the results of anyone's game. When I played in LV, I always counted cards and I would never step foot into a casino unless I was prepared to count cards.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Please be advised of this one last thing: This is a very serious piece of software and it will require a truly dedicated effort if you wish to fully understand it and operate for yourself. It is not difficult to master. But, it is not for the casual gadfly who thinks there is just nothing to it. There are no easy shortcuts involved in understanding this program. It is not terribly long. Nor is it terribly complex. Moreover, it is written using most of the modern methods of structured programming. So, be prepared. if you are serious about the game of BJ, and you are serious about wanting to master this simulation, it will pay off for you in many ways and will be an asset that will benefit you for a long time to come.
But you will need to be willing to put in the necessary work to understand it and to operate it successfully.
(This post was last modified: 11-25-2012, 03:05 PM by AliShibaz.)
